It's funny how little those in charge have
learned from the nightmare of the past two years.
All the evidence suggests that the various
machinations of the Fed, the misjudgments of the Treasury, the
manipulations of the moneyed interests, and the malfeasance of
elected officials who supposedly serve our interests has helped
bring about the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
And yet, what do we have now? More of the
same. More of the same kind of disastrous thinking and misguided
policy-making that has helped transform the U.S. from an unrivaled
economic powerhouse into a nation that is slowly being consumed
from within by wreckless profligacy and an addict's dependence on
borrowed money.
Sadly -- and to our country's ultimate
detriment, I might add -- I'm not sure whether any of these
individuals will ever grasp the simple truths highlighted in the
following report from Business Intelligence Middle East, "Money
Printing, Debt Growth and Deficits Don't Create Prosperity, Says
Marc Faber":
Marc Faber the Swiss fund manager and
Gloom Boom & Doom editor said the US Federal Reserve
managed, through stimulus, to do something that had never before
been done - create a worldwide bubble in just about everything
-stocks, bonds , housing and art.
The only thing that didn't go up was the
dollar, according to Faber.
Speaking to the 10th Annual Agora
Financial Investment Symposium in Vancouver this week, Faber
said: “You cannot create prosperity through money printing and
debt growth.”
Faber preached an idea that became the
theme of the event: Government fiscal and monetary intervention,
“can postpone, but not prevent crisis.
“I believe next year’s economy will
face even larger deficits. Their deficit is attempting to
stimulate credit growth. Unless real credit growth returns, they
will have to put more and more money into the system to maintain
the status quo. All polices target consumption. That is a
mistake,” Faber said.
So what’s this mean for the market?
“The S&P 500 will not recover to 2007 highs. At the peak,
44% of the S&P was the financial sector. That is gone… not
coming back.”
"In the period, 2001 -2007, the Fed
managed to do something that had never before been done - create
a worldwide bubble in just about everything. Stocks, bonds, art,
oil, housing - you name it; it went up. The only thing that
didn't go up was the dollar," Faber said.
All this was achieved through stimulus,
Faber said.
After a half a century of stimulus - with
credit, inflation and the money supply growing faster and faster
- the Fed put the pedal to the metal following the nano-recession
of 2001. It dropped interest rates to just 1% - well below the
rate of consumer price inflation - and kept them there until an
expansion had been going on for three years.
Instead of increasing real output in the
US, it lured Americans to spend and speculate...and drove
Chinese entrepreneurs to put up new factories in order to give
them something to buy. In America, debt grew 5 times faster than
GDP; for each dollar of extra income, Americans added US$5.50 to
their debt. In China, manufacturing capacity grew faster than
ever.
"Bubbles had been localized in the
past," Faber explained. "A bubble in one area drew
investment from another area. In one market, prices soared. In
another they slumped. Overall, things didn't change much."
But a worldwide bubble in everything is
something new. And it caused something else that is new - a
worldwide crash. We have been ducking explosions and stepping
over the debris for the last two years.