While I am a
TA geek and chronic chart twittler, I also have a deep interest in
psychology. In the case of the markets and by extension
planning for financial prosperity and/or survival, this is
an essential tool among many that are required for the successful
trader or investor's tool box.
Occasionally
I exchange emails with the head of a specialty brokerage firm in New
York City. I give him TA and fundamental thoughts and he gives
me his thoughts on global markets, gold and the ever-present risk
built into the system. He also lets me know the tone of the
culture in this most important American City. It's getting
darker, and in line with Robert Prechter's excellent work on Socionomics, it has predictive value in gauging the tenor of the
economy and financial markets. In this regard what follows is
a little YouTube facilitated trip through the culture, using
popular music as our medium.
This
article and in fact the 'Pych 101' theme were triggered after
seeing this Fashion's
Fresh Faces and a Sex Pistol in the Village Voice. A Sex
Pistol?? Fashion? Never mind the Bollocks and never mind
that Glen Matlock actually
knew how to play his bass (unlike poor troubled Sid). What is
he doing at a fashion show's after-party?
Well, with the dark tone that is slowly but steadily becoming
apparent in the culture, he belongs there; an old punk among
a bunch of silly poseurs and hangers-on. Go ahead and click
through the gallery at the above link, but I thought this guy was particularly funny:
The
1950's, widely acknowledged as a time of prosperity and relative
peace, featured the King, Elvis. He was 'the King' for a
reason. He turned convention in popular music on its ear as
the kids went nuts and decent folk didn't know what to make of him.
But
as Neil Young sang in 1977 "the king is dead but he's not
forgotten... this is the story of Johnny Rotten". We'll
get to Johnny shortly, but first a look at the time of social
upheaval informed by an underlying naiveté and optimism that the
counter culture could indeed change the world through peace, love,
understanding and music.
But
all good things come to an end and with the events at the Altamont
Speedway, the 60's were symbolically over - although I would argue
that some of the Rolling Stones' best music came directly after
Altamont. But I can think of no
better expression of what followed than Iggy and the Stooges.
Peace, love and understanding was kaput and in its place rose angst
and alienation, not to mention some pretty good rock
music. If you are the sensitive type do not open
this video as you might see or hear something offensive. An X will precede content that may
be objectionable to more sensitive viewers. Here are the original
Stooges, back in 2006 and still rockin' the house.
X
The
culture's loss (of innocence) was rock music's gain as the likes of
Iggy, Alice Cooper, The Velvet Underground and The New York Dolls dug a
grave and rolled all the left over hippies into it while at
the same time, the aforementioned Rolling Stones, Led Zeppelin and
others dodged the hippies' fate and continued to make great
music. But again, change is always in motion and rock music
took on an increasingly aristocratic nature. Bands like Yes,
Emerson, Lake & Palmer and Pink Floyd (a band I have always
liked) took rock music in an increasingly theatrical
direction. Here is ELP ("it's rock & roll!" ???)
playing to an arena full of automatons.
The
required corrective in the mid 70's to overly serious and grand art
rock?
The Ramones of course. With their cartoon-like songs set to
buzz saw tempo, the Ramones were reviled by the rock dinosaurs but
beloved by the scenesters at New York's legendary CBGB's. Here
they are performing 'Pinhead'. Gabba gabba hey!
The
Stooges, Lou Reed and Johnny Thunders had a hand in inventing punk
rock. But it is the Ramones who gave it an identity; a rough,
'do it yourself and have fun' edge. But in England, something
else was brewing in 1976, and it was more virulent. The Sex
Pistols were taking London by storm in a King Lear meets the
Situationist International blaze of mayhem, anarchy and well,
youthful expression. Whereas America's pioneering punks were
more disaffected (Iggy: "Well its 1969 okay | All
across the USA | It's another year for me and you | Another
year with nothing to do"), Ramones ("Now I wanna sniff
some glue, now I wanna have something to do") what rose out of
the back alleys of London was more political. Witness the
Clash: "Big business it don't like
you | It don't like the things you do | You got no
money | So you got no power | They think you're
useless | An' so you are". British punk had one thing
in common with their mates in the US; the theme of economic
stagnation, hardship and limited opportunity was very clearly
present. Here's the Sex Pistols' 'Anarchy in the UK' and no,
this ain't no after hours gig among a bunch of NYC poseurs.
X
To
be clear, in my opinion Punk was a good thing. I thought so
then and think so now. The message was a total flip off to
authority but it was also reflective of youthful rebellion against a
system that seemed stacked against the common man. A
revolution if you will. One of music and culture. At
this point I would like to mention a current revolution. It is
the political revolution of Ron
Paul's candidacy for President of the United States in 2008.
It is a conservative revolution with people like Pat Buchanan and
Bill Maher, seemingly polar opposites, standing behind Dr.
Paul. The man speaks from the heart and from intellect, which
in today's political sound bite climate draws the laughter of fellow
candidates. As Vox
Day wrote, "first they ignore you, then they laugh at you,
then they fight you, then you win."
But
back on the theme of the popular culture; did you think the above
Sex Pistols video was angry, offensive or threatening? Well,
it wasn't. Not nearly so much as what is happening now in the
culture. In an age where we are involved in a complicated war
against terror and a war in Iraq that is tearing the US apart at the
seams, anger and rage are at a low boil but the heat remains turned
up on high. It doesn't help that Wall Street's dirty secrets
are being hung out to dry on Main Street for all to see. This
cauldron has the potential to boil over and in popular culture, it
already has. Here are Metal band System of a Down and rapper
Eminem. Note the red X's because it's not pretty (but SOAD's
B.Y.O.B. rocks).
X
And then there is Eminem,
a popular and successful rapper taking it down a notch. This
is in the popular culture and is influential. It is also
severe. I can't think of any other word to describe it.
XX
We have come to a sad
place in the USA. With an economy built on quick sand and a
culture being torn apart from the inside out, we are on tentative
ground at best. Much of the population focuses on Britney
Spears' weight gain and a whole host of reality shows in the face of
the real reality. At least that is what it seems the
mainstream is doing. I will not bring this to a conclusion as
I don't have one. In the future, I will occasionally dredge up
thoughts on the culture's psyche and put them out here. You
can form your own conclusions.
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